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| Saturday, 04/12/2025 4:07 PM | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Record | Starter | Open | Latest | ||||
| Gm# | W-L-OTL PTS | Goalie | ML | O/U | ML | O/U | |
 COL | 7 | 49-29-4, 102 pts. | BLACKWOOD | +125 | 5.5e-10 | +160 | 5.5o+15 |
 LAK | 8 | 48-27-7, 103 pts. | KUEMPER | -145 | 5.5u-20 | -180 | 5.5u-35 |
Matchup Content Menu |
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NHL Simulation & Power Ratings |
Power Rating Projections |
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| Teams | Actual Line | Estimated Line | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rating | Goalie | ML | B.E. | ML | Win% | Edge% | |
| COL | 4.10 | BLACKWOOD | +160 | 38.5% | +112 | 47.3% | COL (+8.8%) |
| LAK | 4.36 | KUEMPER | -180 | 64.3% | -112 | 52.7% | |
Game Simulation Results |
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| Average projected scores and game statistics. | |||||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Actual Line | Estimated Line | Over/Under | Projected Stats | ||||||||||
| Teams | Goalies | Score | ML | B.E. | ML | Win% | Edge | O/U | Est. | Edge | SOG | PP | AST |
| COL | BLACKWOOD | 1.61 | +160 | 38.5% | +123 | 44.9% | COL (+6.5%) | 5.5o+15 | 3.4 | 30 | 4-1 | 3 | |
| LAK | KUEMPER | 1.82 | -180 | 64.3% | -123 | 55.1% | 5.5u-35 | 3.4 | UN (+2.1) | 28 | 4-1 | 3 | |
Potential Trends Based On Simulator Projection |
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| Trends Favoring Colorado | |
|---|---|
 | Bet on Colorado in away or neutral games on the money line when they have approximately the same number of shots on goal as opp. Colorado record during the 2025 season: 10-0 (100%) with an average money line of -156. (+10.4 unit$, ROI=66.6%) The average score of these games was Avalanche 4.4, Opponents 1.5. |
| Bet on Colorado on the money line when they allow 2 or less goals. Colorado record since the 2024 season: 68-10 (87%) with an average money line of -201. (+50.4 unit$, ROI=32.1%) The average score of these games was Avalanche 3.8, Opponents 1.4. |
| Bet against Los Angeles on the money line when they score 2 or less goals. Los Angeles record during the 2025 season: 7-31 (18%) with an average money line of -140. (-38.6 unit$, ROI=-72.7%) The average score of these games was Kings 1.4, Opponents 3.1. |
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| Trends Favoring Los Angeles | |
|---|---|
| Bet against Colorado on the money line when they score 2 or less goals. Colorado record during the 2025 season: 4-25 (14%) with an average money line of -168. (-37.7 unit$, ROI=-77.4%) The average score of these games was Avalanche 1.3, Opponents 3.2. |
| Bet against Colorado on the money line when they score 2 goals. Colorado record since the 2023 season: 10-31 (24%) with an average money line of -167. (-39.8 unit$, ROI=-58.1%) The average score of these games was Avalanche 2.0, Opponents 3.6. |
| Bet on Los Angeles on the money line when they allow 2 or less goals. Los Angeles record during the 2025 season: 37-6 (86%) with an average money line of -159. (+28.8 unit$, ROI=42.0%) The average score of these games was Kings 3.3, Opponents 1.2. |
| Bet on Los Angeles in home games on the money line when they have approximately the same number of shots on goal as opp. Los Angeles record during the 2025 season: 13-1 (93%) with an average money line of -167. (+11.0 unit$, ROI=46.9%) The average score of these games was Kings 3.4, Opponents 1.7. |
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| Trends Favoring Under | |
|---|---|
 | Bet under the total in Colorado games when they allow 2 or less goals. The Under's record during the 2025 season: 28-9 (76%) with an average over/under of 6.2, money line=-108. (+19.0 unit$, ROI=44.9%) The average score of these games was Avalanche 3.4, Opponents 1.4. |
| Bet under the total in Los Angeles games when they score 2 or less goals. The Under's record during the 2025 season: 29-9 (76%) with an average over/under of 5.6, money line=-116. (+18.7 unit$, ROI=42.5%) The average score of these games was Kings 1.4, Opponents 3.1. |
| Bet under the total in Los Angeles games when they allow 2 or less goals. The Under's record during the 2025 season: 31-11 (74%) with an average over/under of 5.7, money line=-116. (+18.2 unit$, ROI=36.6%) The average score of these games was Kings 3.3, Opponents 1.2. |
Teams: The competing teams in the matchup.
Goalies: The starting goaltenders for each team.
Betting Lines
ML (Money Line): The odds for each team to win the game outright.
B.E. (Break-Even %): The implied probability of winning based on the money line.
Estimated ML: The projected money line based on power ratings and goaltender performance.
Win%: The projected win probability for each team based on simulations.
Edge%: The difference between the estimated and actual betting line, indicating potential value.
Game Simulation
Score: The average projected final score for each team based on simulations.
Over/Under (O/U): The projected total goals scored in the game.
Est. O/U: The estimated over/under based on simulations.
O/U Edge: The difference between the estimated and actual over/under total.
Projected Game Stats
SOG (Shots on Goal): The projected total number of shots on goal for each team.
PP (Power Play Goals): The projected number of power play goals scored by each team.
AST (Assists): The projected total assists for each team.
Trends & Insights
Trends Favoring Team: Historical betting trends that support one team based on past performance in similar matchups.
Trends Favoring Over/Under: Historical trends indicating whether games involving these teams tend to go over or under the total.