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Saturday, 04/12/2025 6:07 PM 
 RecordStarterOpenLatest
 Gm#W-L-OTL PTSGoalieMLO/UMLO/U
 BUF Buffalo936-39-7, 79 pts.LUUKKONEN+1856o-15+1455.5o-10
 FLA Florida1047-31-4, 98 pts.VANECEK-2256u-05-1655.5u-10

Matchup Content Menu

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Tip SheetSimulation & Ratings🔒Betting Systems🔒Team Trends🔒Team StatsPlayers Stats & Injuries🔒GoaliesSchedule & ResultsHead-to-Head🔒Coaches🔒

NHL Simulation & Power Ratings

This page features detailed power rating line projections alongside StatSharp's advanced game simulations, each offering precise projected scores and game statistics, estimated fair market lines, positive expected value percentages, and projected hit rates against both the side and total lines. Both sections clearly identify potential betting advantages by highlighting significant value edges when they occur. Use this comprehensive analysis to confidently identify the strongest wagering opportunities available.

Power Rating Projections

Explore comprehensive NHL betting insights with StatSharp’s power rating line projections based on team power ratings and goaltender performance. This section provides detailed analysis of estimated betting lines, money lines, and win probabilities for all the current NHL matchup. Compare sportsbook odds with StatSharp’s advanced power ratings to uncover edges and value in the betting market.

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Teams Actual LineEstimated Line 
 RatingGoalieMLB.E.MLWin%Edge%
 BUF Buffalo2.95LUUKKONEN+14540.8%+10449.0%BUF (+8.1%)
 FLA Florida3.00VANECEK-16562.3%-10451.0%

Game Simulation Results

This table shows average projected scores, win probabilities, and game statistics including shots on goal, power play goals, and assists from our hockey game simulation. Edges highlight potential advantages versus the current line.

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Average projected scores and game statistics.
  Actual LineEstimated Line Over/UnderProjected Stats
TeamsGoaliesScoreMLB.E.MLWin%EdgeO/UEst.EdgeSOGPPAST
 BUF BuffaloLUUKKONEN2.55+14540.8%-10350.8%BUF (+10.0%)5.5o-105.0244-04
 FLA FloridaVANECEK2.50-16562.3%+10349.2%5.5u-105.0UN (+0.5)344-14

Potential Trends Based On Simulator Projection

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Trends Favoring Under
Bet under the total in Buffalo away or ne games when they allow 3 goals.
The Under's record since the 2024 season: 14-2 (88%) with an average over/under of 6.2, money line=-104. (+12.3 unit$, ROI=73.8%)
The average score of these games was Sabres 2.0, Opponents 3.0.
Glossary of Terms

Teams: The competing teams in the matchup.

Goalies: The starting goaltenders for each team.

Betting Lines

ML (Money Line): The odds for each team to win the game outright.

B.E. (Break-Even %): The implied probability of winning based on the money line.

Estimated ML: The projected money line based on power ratings and goaltender performance.

Win%: The projected win probability for each team based on simulations.

Edge%: The difference between the estimated and actual betting line, indicating potential value.

Game Simulation

Score: The average projected final score for each team based on simulations.

Over/Under (O/U): The projected total goals scored in the game.

Est. O/U: The estimated over/under based on simulations.

O/U Edge: The difference between the estimated and actual over/under total.

Projected Game Stats

SOG (Shots on Goal): The projected total number of shots on goal for each team.

PP (Power Play Goals): The projected number of power play goals scored by each team.

AST (Assists): The projected total assists for each team.

Trends & Insights

Trends Favoring Team: Historical betting trends that support one team based on past performance in similar matchups.

Trends Favoring Over/Under: Historical trends indicating whether games involving these teams tend to go over or under the total.