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| Saturday, 04/12/2025 3:07 PM | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Record | Starter | Open | Latest | ||||
| Gm# | W-L-OTL PTS | Goalie | ML | O/U | ML | O/U | |
 NYR | 5 | 39-36-7, 85 pts. | SHESTERKIN | +160 | 5.5o-15 | +160 | 6e-10 |
 CAR | 6 | 47-30-5, 99 pts. | KOCHETKOV | -185 | 5.5u-05 | -185 | 6u-20 |
Matchup Content Menu |
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NHL Simulation & Power Ratings |
Power Rating Projections |
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| Teams | Actual Line | Estimated Line | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rating | Goalie | ML | B.E. | ML | Win% | Edge% | |
| NYR | 3.01 | SHESTERKIN | +160 | 38.5% | +102 | 49.4% | NYR (+11.0%) |
| CAR | 3.03 | KOCHETKOV | -185 | 64.9% | -102 | 50.6% | |
Game Simulation Results |
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| Average projected scores and game statistics. | |||||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Actual Line | Estimated Line | Over/Under | Projected Stats | ||||||||||
| Teams | Goalies | Score | ML | B.E. | ML | Win% | Edge | O/U | Est. | Edge | SOG | PP | AST |
| NYR | SHESTERKIN | 2.24 | +160 | 38.5% | -131 | 56.8% | NYR (+18.3%) | 6e-10 | 4.1 | 25 | 4-0 | 4 | |
| CAR | KOCHETKOV | 1.89 | -185 | 64.9% | +131 | 43.2% | 6u-20 | 4.1 | UN (+1.9) | 36 | 4-1 | 3 | |
Potential Trends Based On Simulator Projection |
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| Trends Favoring NY Rangers | |
|---|---|
 | Bet on NY Rangers on the money line when they allow 2 or less goals. NY Rangers record during the 2025 season: 30-4 (88%) with an average money line of -162. (+24.2 unit$, ROI=43.9%) The average score of these games was Rangers 3.6, Opponents 1.2. |
| Bet against Carolina on the money line when they score 2 or less goals. Carolina record during the 2025 season: 4-23 (15%) with an average money line of -191. (-40.0 unit$, ROI=-77.7%) The average score of these games was Hurricanes 1.3, Opponents 3.4. |
| Bet against Carolina on the money line when they score 2 goals. Carolina record since the 2024 season: 6-20 (23%) with an average money line of -171. (-27.4 unit$, ROI=-61.6%) The average score of these games was Hurricanes 2.0, Opponents 3.4. |
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| Trends Favoring Carolina | |
|---|---|
| Bet against NY Rangers on the money line when they score 2 or less goals. NY Rangers record during the 2025 season: 6-26 (19%) with an average money line of -128. (-28.8 unit$, ROI=-70.5%) The average score of these games was Rangers 1.3, Opponents 3.3. |
| Bet on Carolina on the money line when they allow 2 or less goals. Carolina record during the 2025 season: 35-1 (97%) with an average money line of -219. (+33.2 unit$, ROI=42.1%) The average score of these games was Hurricanes 3.8, Opponents 1.3. |
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| Trends Favoring Under | |
|---|---|
 | Bet under the total in NY Rangers games when they allow 2 or less goals. The Under's record during the 2025 season: 25-7 (78%) with an average over/under of 6.1, money line=-108. (+17.8 unit$, ROI=48.2%) The average score of these games was Rangers 3.6, Opponents 1.2. |
| Bet under the total in NY Rangers games when they score 2 or less goals. The Under's record during the 2025 season: 25-7 (78%) with an average over/under of 6.0, money line=-110. (+17.9 unit$, ROI=50.9%) The average score of these games was Rangers 1.3, Opponents 3.3. |
| Bet under the total in Carolina games when they score 2 or less goals. The Under's record during the 2025 season: 20-4 (83%) with an average over/under of 5.9, money line=-113. (+15.2 unit$, ROI=50.0%) The average score of these games was Hurricanes 1.3, Opponents 3.4. |
| Bet under the total in Carolina games when they allow 2 or less goals. The Under's record during the 2025 season: 25-7 (78%) with an average over/under of 5.9, money line=-107. (+17.9 unit$, ROI=46.3%) The average score of these games was Hurricanes 3.8, Opponents 1.3. |
Teams: The competing teams in the matchup.
Goalies: The starting goaltenders for each team.
Betting Lines
ML (Money Line): The odds for each team to win the game outright.
B.E. (Break-Even %): The implied probability of winning based on the money line.
Estimated ML: The projected money line based on power ratings and goaltender performance.
Win%: The projected win probability for each team based on simulations.
Edge%: The difference between the estimated and actual betting line, indicating potential value.
Game Simulation
Score: The average projected final score for each team based on simulations.
Over/Under (O/U): The projected total goals scored in the game.
Est. O/U: The estimated over/under based on simulations.
O/U Edge: The difference between the estimated and actual over/under total.
Projected Game Stats
SOG (Shots on Goal): The projected total number of shots on goal for each team.
PP (Power Play Goals): The projected number of power play goals scored by each team.
AST (Assists): The projected total assists for each team.
Trends & Insights
Trends Favoring Team: Historical betting trends that support one team based on past performance in similar matchups.
Trends Favoring Over/Under: Historical trends indicating whether games involving these teams tend to go over or under the total.