More NHL Games |
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| Saturday, 04/19/2025 8:30 PM | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| NHL Playoffs - First Round - Best Of 7 - Game 1 | |||||||
| Record | Starter | Open | Latest | ||||
| Gm# | W-L-OTL PTS | Goalie | ML | O/U | ML | O/U | |
 COL | 23 | 49-29-4, 102 pts. | BLACKWOOD | -120 | 5.5o-20 | -140 | 6e-10 |
 DAL | 24 | 50-26-6, 106 pts. | OETTINGER | +100 | 5.5e-10 | +120 | 6u-20 |
Matchup Content Menu |
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NHL Simulation & Power Ratings |
Power Rating Projections |
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| Teams | Actual Line | Estimated Line | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rating | Goalie | ML | B.E. | ML | Win% | Edge% | |
| COL | 4.10 | BLACKWOOD | -140 | 58.3% | -167 | 62.5% | COL (+4.2%) |
| DAL | 2.98 | OETTINGER | +120 | 45.5% | +-167 | 37.5% | |
Game Simulation Results |
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| Average projected scores and game statistics. | |||||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Actual Line | Estimated Line | Over/Under | Projected Stats | ||||||||||
| Teams | Goalies | Score | ML | B.E. | ML | Win% | Edge | O/U | Est. | Edge | SOG | PP | AST |
| COL | BLACKWOOD | 2.63 | -140 | 58.3% | -113 | 53.1% | 6e-10 | 5.1 | 37 | 4-1 | 5 | ||
| DAL | OETTINGER | 2.44 | +120 | 45.5% | +113 | 46.9% | DAL (+1.5%) | 6u-20 | 5.1 | UN (+0.9) | 26 | 4-1 | 5 |
Potential Trends Based On Simulator Projection |
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| Trends Favoring Colorado | |
|---|---|
 | Bet on Colorado on the money line when they allow 2 or less goals. Colorado record since the 2024 season: 69-10 (87%) with an average money line of -200. (+51.4 unit$, ROI=32.5%) The average score of these games was Avalanche 3.8, Opponents 1.4. |
| Bet against Dallas on the money line when they score 2 or less goals. Dallas record during the 2025 season: 6-20 (23%) with an average money line of -172. (-28.5 unit$, ROI=-63.6%) The average score of these games was Stars 1.6, Opponents 2.8. |
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| Trends Favoring Under | |
|---|---|
 | Bet under the total in Colorado games when they allow 2 or less goals. The Under's record during the 2025 season: 28-9 (76%) with an average over/under of 6.2, money line=-108. (+19.0 unit$, ROI=43.8%) The average score of these games was Avalanche 3.5, Opponents 1.5. |
| Bet under the total in Dallas games when they score 2 or less goals. The Under's record during the 2025 season: 24-2 (92%) with an average over/under of 5.9, money line=-109. (+22.3 unit$, ROI=78.9%) The average score of these games was Stars 1.6, Opponents 2.8. |
| Bet under the total in Dallas games when they score 2 goals. The Under's record during the 2025 season: 15-2 (88%) with an average over/under of 5.9, money line=-109. (+13.3 unit$, ROI=72.1%) The average score of these games was Stars 2.0, Opponents 2.5. |
Teams: The competing teams in the matchup.
Goalies: The starting goaltenders for each team.
Betting Lines
ML (Money Line): The odds for each team to win the game outright.
B.E. (Break-Even %): The implied probability of winning based on the money line.
Estimated ML: The projected money line based on power ratings and goaltender performance.
Win%: The projected win probability for each team based on simulations.
Edge%: The difference between the estimated and actual betting line, indicating potential value.
Game Simulation
Score: The average projected final score for each team based on simulations.
Over/Under (O/U): The projected total goals scored in the game.
Est. O/U: The estimated over/under based on simulations.
O/U Edge: The difference between the estimated and actual over/under total.
Projected Game Stats
SOG (Shots on Goal): The projected total number of shots on goal for each team.
PP (Power Play Goals): The projected number of power play goals scored by each team.
AST (Assists): The projected total assists for each team.
Trends & Insights
Trends Favoring Team: Historical betting trends that support one team based on past performance in similar matchups.
Trends Favoring Over/Under: Historical trends indicating whether games involving these teams tend to go over or under the total.