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| Saturday, 04/12/2025 7:07 PM | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Record | Starter | Open | Latest | ||||
| Gm# | W-L-OTL PTS | Goalie | ML | O/U | ML | O/U | |
 MON | 13 | 40-31-11, 91 pts. | DOBES | +190 | 6o-10 | +180 | 6o-05 |
 TOR | 14 | 52-26-4, 108 pts. | STOLARZ | -230 | 6u-10 | -215 | 6u-15 |
Matchup Content Menu |
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NHL Simulation & Power Ratings |
Power Rating Projections |
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| Teams | Actual Line | Estimated Line | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rating | Goalie | ML | B.E. | ML | Win% | Edge% | |
| MON | 3.11 | DOBES | +180 | 35.7% | +172 | 36.8% | MON (+1.1%) |
| TOR | 4.30 | STOLARZ | -215 | 68.3% | -172 | 63.2% | |
Game Simulation Results |
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| Average projected scores and game statistics. | |||||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Actual Line | Estimated Line | Over/Under | Projected Stats | ||||||||||
| Teams | Goalies | Score | ML | B.E. | ML | Win% | Edge | O/U | Est. | Edge | SOG | PP | AST |
| MON | DOBES | 1.70 | +180 | 35.7% | +211 | 32.2% | 6o-05 | 4.4 | 29 | 3-1 | 3 | ||
| TOR | STOLARZ | 2.68 | -215 | 68.3% | -211 | 67.8% | 6u-15 | 4.4 | UN (+1.6) | 31 | 3-1 | 5 | |
Potential Trends Based On Simulator Projection |
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| Trends Favoring Toronto | |
|---|---|
 | Bet against Montreal on the money line when they score 2 or less goals. Montreal record since the 2024 season: 5-57 (8%) with an average money line of +165. (-49.4 unit$, ROI=-78.3%) The average score of these games was Canadiens 1.5, Opponents 3.7. |
| Bet on Toronto on the money line when they allow 2 or less goals. Toronto record during the 2025 season: 29-4 (88%) with an average money line of -169. (+24.3 unit$, ROI=43.5%) The average score of these games was Maple Leafs 3.4, Opponents 1.5. |
| Bet on Toronto in home games on the money line when they allow 2 goals. Toronto record during the 2025 season: 10-0 (100%) with an average money line of -204. (+10.0 unit$, ROI=49.0%) The average score of these games was Maple Leafs 4.3, Opponents 2.0. |
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| Trends Favoring Under | |
|---|---|
 | Bet under the total in Toronto games when they allow 2 or less goals. The Under's record during the 2025 season: 27-6 (82%) with an average over/under of 6.1, money line=-113. (+20.5 unit$, ROI=54.8%) The average score of these games was Maple Leafs 3.4, Opponents 1.5. |
Teams: The competing teams in the matchup.
Goalies: The starting goaltenders for each team.
Betting Lines
ML (Money Line): The odds for each team to win the game outright.
B.E. (Break-Even %): The implied probability of winning based on the money line.
Estimated ML: The projected money line based on power ratings and goaltender performance.
Win%: The projected win probability for each team based on simulations.
Edge%: The difference between the estimated and actual betting line, indicating potential value.
Game Simulation
Score: The average projected final score for each team based on simulations.
Over/Under (O/U): The projected total goals scored in the game.
Est. O/U: The estimated over/under based on simulations.
O/U Edge: The difference between the estimated and actual over/under total.
Projected Game Stats
SOG (Shots on Goal): The projected total number of shots on goal for each team.
PP (Power Play Goals): The projected number of power play goals scored by each team.
AST (Assists): The projected total assists for each team.
Trends & Insights
Trends Favoring Team: Historical betting trends that support one team based on past performance in similar matchups.
Trends Favoring Over/Under: Historical trends indicating whether games involving these teams tend to go over or under the total.